Hollister Homes Highest Value Gain

Hollister, CA

Of the 3 cities which make up ‘ South County‘, the City of Hollister, CA single family residences saw the highest appreciation from 1st quarter 2013 to 1st quarter 2014.

The average Hollister single family residence (SFR) value rose 23.1% whereas Morgan Hill, CA experienced 21.9% and the City of Gilroy, CA saw their SFR rise by 11.2% from 1Q13 to 1Q14.

However, Hollister’s typical SFR value dropped 43% from 1Q07 (when many say the bubble burst) to 1Q13. Morgan Hill dropped 32.5% and Gilroy 30.6% during this same period.  Hollister’s ave.  SFR value in 1Q07  was $302,383, down to $240,798 in 2013 and up to $274,309 1Q14.

Another indicator of Hollister’s recovery is the time it takes homes to sell.  The average days on the market in 2007’s 1st quarter was a whopping 148 days.  In 1Q13 the time dropped to 124 days on the market.  That is a 69% improvement!  Then, this year we watched the average days on the market drop even further to 24.

Finally, the average Sales to List price ratio was 99.5% in the 1st 3 months this year compared to slightly over 96% in both ‘o7 and ’13 first quarter.  They are selling faster and virtually at their asking price.

What do you think this trend will do?

(data source: MLSListings)

Home Prices in Gilroy, CA

City Gilroy

Gilroy, CA is not only known as the “Garlic Capital of the World” but it is also known for its robust housing market.

Using the first quarter of 2007 (1Q07) as a high point in,  and the beginning of decline of market values, there are some interesting changes which point to a strong recovery:

The average number of days it took for homes to sell in 1Q07 was 141. Then, in 1Q13 it had dropped to just 36 days, and, 1Q14 days on market slipped up to an average of 45 days. Obviously, homes are again, selling much faster but the pace is slowing.

Gilroy CA’s average sales price for single family residences (SFR) in 1Q07 was an amazing $785,763!  By 1Q13 prices dropped to $544,965. In the year since, the average prices continued to increase: 1Q14, the average was $605,845.

Another indicator of a recovered market is the ratio of sales price to listed price. In 1Q07 the average was 97.7%; in the first quarter of 2013 it was 98.7% and in the 1st 3 months of this year it averaged 96.2%.  Again, 2014 is still improving but it seems at a slower pace.

Relatively speaking, Gilroy had the least significant drop in prices of the other South County neighbors: Morgan Hill and Hollister. Gilroy’s drop 1Q07 to 1Q13 was 30.6% while Morgan Hill’s was 32.5% and Hollister saw a 43% drop in that time frame.

So, what do you think values are going to do here in South County in the near future?

(data: MLSListings)

Drop PMI from Your House Payment


paymentsREDUCE YOUR HOUSE PAYMENT BY $220/mth*

Since home values have risen over the last 18 months we are often asked: “How do I drop that Private Mortgage Insurance (PMI) from our house payment?”

So here is the Good News and the Bad News:

Good:  “The Homeowner’s Protection Act of 1998“: home lenders MUST drop the PMI when the loan balance reaches 78% of the original value.

Bad: “78% of ORIGINAL VALUE” means the price you paid for the home, NOT today’s appreciated value. Additionally, most lenders require that you have a 2-5 year payment history with them before they will consider your request.

Additional ‘Bad’: Even if you have paid extra toward your loan balance the lenders look to the original amortization schedule to determine when you reach 78% in order to drop the PMI.   That typically takes 9 – 10 years.

Once you have 80% equity you can ask the lender to cancel your PMI however, there is no guaranty they will.

While the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) is not governed by the same law they do have a similar ‘78%’ rule with the added proviso that the payment needs to have been made for at least 5 years or your balance is 78% of the original value – whichever comes later.   FHA’s insurance for loans originated after 7/1/2013 however, is permanent.

Good:  You don’t have to wait for the magical date on your amortization table…you can refinance your current loan.  In the South County (Morgan Hill, Gilroy, Hollister, San Juan Bautista) home values rose over 36% in 2013 from 2012.  With at least 20% (new equity) your new loan will not need PMI.  On a $300,000 purchase where you put originally put 5% down to a $285,000 loan, the PMI would cost roughly $220 every month*. Even if you include the closing costs in your refinance loan you will still have a lower payment due to no PMI; probably a savings of $150 or more per month.

In a 5 minute visit I can tell you what YOUR particular numbers will look like.  Text, email or call me.  Let’s get rid of that PMI before another month rolls by.

 

Housing Values At The Bottom Yet?

Remember when we were on a road trip with the kids in the car?  What was the question they always got around to?  “Are we there yet?”

Nearly every day people ask me the same question relative to home values: “Are housing values at the bottom yet?”  The answer varies depending the area you are asking about.

In this article Forbes provides mixed answers:  homeowners in the San Francisco Bay Area may “be there”.  Other places in CA and around the country, however, may have a ways to go yet before their house-value-slide ends.

San Jose was specifically listed as one of the few metro area where values seem to have leveled.  This continues to be good news for Morgan Hill, Gilroy and Hollister home values.  With the majority of South County residents commuting up into the Bay Area, home values in these three cities will continue to follow San Jose’s lead.

So, Johnny, we’re there –  but we won’t be returning to increased values for some time to come.

Hollister Home Values, Turning Around

We all know home values have dropped over the last 3 years.  Will that slide continue?

Single family home values in Hollister dropped by 41.6% from 2007 to 2008.  In 2009 they fell another 17.4% . Townhomes values have likewise dropped: 54.3% from 2007 to 2008 and 25.5% from 2008 to 2009. 

The average sales price of Hollister homes in 2007 was $548,562.  In 2008 it was $320,419, and $264,601 the average sales price for 2009.

Townhome sales show a similar pattern: their average sales price was $339,780 in 2007, $155,354 in 2008, and $115,725 in 2009.

However, it appears that the value slide has hit bottom.  A closer look at 2009 average values suggests that we may have bottomed out in 9/09 and are beginning to see a rebound in both single family residence and townhome values.

Morgan Hill & Gilroy home and townhomes reflect a similar trend in values although the downward adjustments in value are more dramatic as you go south to Hollister.

(Data: MLSListings)

Elimination of Gilroy Caltrain Service Averted

In an attempt by Santa Clara County’s Transportation Agency to close a $10.1 million budget gap consideration of terminating Caltrain service to Gilroy has been discussed for some time.  However, thanks to persistent lobbying by Lisa Rheinheimer, executive director of the San Benito County Council of Governments, commuter train service for Gilroy will continue.  The Transportation Agency was also presented with a resolution from the Hollister City Council and San Benito County Board of Supervisors in support of continuation of the Gilroy Service.  Additionally, nearly 700 comments from the public, most of which were in support of keeping Gilroy train services, helped the Agency to keep Gilroy in the loop.

Some changes in service will impact commuters. To save nearly $2 million in next year’s budget the mid-day service will run every hour rather than every half hour.  Parking costs will go up $1 to $3 per day.  The bulk ticket “Go” passes will also see a slight fee increase.

So, of the 39,122 riders on the Caltrain system (2/09), the 324 commuters from South Santa Clara County can keep their transportation plans on track.

Good work everybody!

For more information go to: pinnaclenews.com